DetDeterminationClinton · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Certification To Waive Application of Restrictions on Assistance to the Government of Serbia and the Government of Montenegro

President Clinton certified to Congress that waiving restrictions on U.S. and international financial assistance to Serbia and Montenegro was necessary to achieve a negotiated settlement in Bosnia-Herzegovina. This waiver, issued December 19, 2000, followed the democratic election of Vojislav Kostunica in Serbia and aimed to support the new government and prevent a return of Milosevic-era forces.

Impact dates

  1. IMF loan vote for FRY post-conflict assistance and FRY membership

Key directives

  • Certify to Congress that waiver of 1511(b) and (c) is necessary for Bosnia-Herzegovina settlement
  • Waive application of assistance restrictions to Government of Serbia and Government of Montenegro
  • Secretary of Defense to transmit determination to Congress and arrange Federal Register publication

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Waiver of subsections 1511(b) and (c) takes effect upon certification
  • IMF loan vote scheduled for December 20, 2000

Near term (90d)

  • Potential U.S. bilateral assistance to Serbia and Montenegro
  • U.S. support for FRY membership in international financial institutions

Long term

  • Consolidation of Kostunica government
  • Implementation of Dayton Accords
  • Regional stability in Balkans

Risks & tensions

  • Timing suggests lame-duck action days before Clinton administration ended
  • Justification links Serbia/Montenegro assistance to Bosnia settlement, though democratic transition in Serbia was primary driver
  • Risk that pro-Milosevic forces could regain power if assistance withheld
Presidential Determination: Presidential Certification To Waive Application of Restrictions on Assistance to the Government of Serbia and the Government of Montenegro · Executive Orders