ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationObama · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

Energy & EnvironmentEnergy & EnvironmentDefense & SecurityDefense & SecurityTradeTrade

In simple terms

This determination finds that global petroleum supplies from non-Iranian sources are sufficient to allow foreign countries to significantly reduce Iranian oil purchases, continuing sanctions-related pressure on Iran's oil exports under the 2012 NDAA. The finding maintains existing policy rather than changing it.

Federal Register Open PDF 79 FR 71619

Record & deadlines

  1. Signed

    Signed by the President

  2. FR published

    Published in the Federal Register · 79 FR 71619

    Federal Register PDF

  3. Federal Register publication

Key directives

  • Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register
  • Continued monitoring of petroleum supply conditions

Who is ordered

What to expect

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing
  • Continued authorization for sanctions on entities purchasing Iranian oil through foreign financial institutions

Near term (90d)

  • Federal Register publication directed
  • Continued monitoring of global oil supply conditions

Long term

  • Sustained pressure on Iranian oil exports
  • Ongoing dependency on global oil market conditions for policy continuation

Risks & tensions

  • Determination explicitly 'consistent with prior determinations'—no policy change
  • Dependent on volatile global oil market conditions (spare capacity, production levels)
  • Sanctions effectiveness hinges on foreign compliance, not just U.S. determination
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders