ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationTrump 45 · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

This determination, required every 180 days under the 2012 NDAA, finds that global petroleum supplies from non-Iranian sources are sufficient to allow significant reductions in Iranian oil purchases. This finding is a statutory precondition for maintaining sanctions on foreign financial institutions that process Iranian oil transactions, effectively continuing the sanctions architecture against Iran's petroleum sector.

Federal Register Open PDF 82 FR 59503

Impact dates

  1. Next required determination under NDAA 2012 section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C)

Key directives

  • Determine that global petroleum supply from non-Iranian sources is sufficient to permit significant reduction in Iranian oil purchases
  • Continue monitoring global oil market conditions
  • Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing; sanctions authority remains active

Near term (90d)

  • Continued monitoring of global oil market conditions by Administration

Long term

  • Next required determination due by approximately May 14, 2018 (180 days from signing)
  • Sustained pressure on Iranian oil exports if determinations continue

Risks & tensions

  • Document cites 'consistent with prior determinations' suggesting continuity; no explicit unwinding of prior policy
  • Vague 'continue to monitor' language provides flexibility but no concrete enforcement mechanism in this document alone
  • Sanctions leverage depends on international cooperation, which this document does not address
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders