ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationTrump 45 · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

President Trump determined that global petroleum supplies from non-Iranian sources are sufficient to allow significant reductions in Iranian oil purchases, maintaining a sanctions mechanism under the 2012 NDAA. This continues a policy framework that supports imposing sanctions on foreign financial institutions that facilitate Iranian oil transactions.

Federal Register Open PDF 83 FR 26345

Impact dates

  1. Federal Register publication

Key directives

  • Determine sufficient non-Iranian petroleum supply exists to permit significant reduction in Iranian oil purchases
  • Continue monitoring global oil supply situation
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing, maintaining sanctions authority

Near term (90d)

  • Continued monitoring of global oil supply conditions

Long term

  • Sustained framework for Iran oil sanctions enforcement

Risks & tensions

  • Document is 'consistent with prior determinations' suggesting continuity, but 2018 context includes looming U.S. withdrawal from Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA announced May 8, 2018)
  • Timing one week after JCPOA withdrawal signals potential tightening of Iran sanctions enforcement
  • Vague 'continue to monitor' language provides flexibility but limited transparency on trigger points for action
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders