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DetDeterminationTrump 45 · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

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In simple terms

President Trump determined that global petroleum supplies from non-Iranian sources are sufficient to allow significant reductions in Iranian oil purchases, maintaining a sanctions mechanism under the 2012 NDAA. This continues a policy framework that supports imposing sanctions on foreign financial institutions that facilitate Iranian oil transactions.

Federal Register Open PDF 83 FR 26345

Record & deadlines

  1. Signed

    Signed by the President

  2. FR published

    Published in the Federal Register · 83 FR 26345

    Federal Register PDF

  3. Federal Register publication

Key directives

  • Determine sufficient non-Iranian petroleum supply exists to permit significant reduction in Iranian oil purchases
  • Continue monitoring global oil supply situation
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

What to expect

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing, maintaining sanctions authority

Near term (90d)

  • Continued monitoring of global oil supply conditions

Long term

  • Sustained framework for Iran oil sanctions enforcement

Risks & tensions

  • Document is 'consistent with prior determinations' suggesting continuity, but 2018 context includes looming U.S. withdrawal from Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA announced May 8, 2018)
  • Timing one week after JCPOA withdrawal signals potential tightening of Iran sanctions enforcement
  • Vague 'continue to monitor' language provides flexibility but limited transparency on trigger points for action
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders