Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

President Trump determined there is sufficient global petroleum supply from non-Iranian sources to allow foreign financial institutions to significantly reduce oil purchases from Iran, continuing a sanctions-related finding required by the 2012 NDAA. This determination maintains the legal foundation for pressuring Iran's oil exports.

Federal Register Open PDF 84 FR 22327

Impact dates

Date TBD
Federal Register publication by Secretary of State

Key directives

Determine that global petroleum supply from non-Iranian sources is sufficient to permit significant reduction in Iranian oil purchases
Continue monitoring global oil supply situation
Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

Determination takes effect upon signing, maintaining sanctions pressure framework on Iran

Near term (90d)

Continued monitoring of global oil supply conditions by the President

Long term

Sustained legal basis for U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil purchases through foreign financial institutions

Risks & tensions

Determination made during period of maximum pressure campaign against Iran; actual oil market conditions may fluctuate
Reliance on Energy Information Administration reports introduces potential data lag or methodological uncertainty
Foreign allies may resist reducing Iranian oil purchases despite U.S. determination