ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationTrump 45 · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

This determination finds that global petroleum supplies from non-Iran sources are sufficient to allow foreign countries to significantly reduce Iranian oil purchases, thereby continuing sanctions pressure on Iran's oil exports. It extends a recurring statutory determination required to maintain U.S. sanctions leverage under the 2012 NDAA.

Federal Register Open PDF 85 FR 36995

Impact dates

  1. Federal Register publication

Key directives

  • Determine sufficient non-Iranian petroleum supply exists to permit significant reduction in Iranian oil purchases
  • Continue monitoring global oil market conditions
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing
  • Sanctions framework against Iranian oil purchases remains operative

Near term (90d)

  • Continued monitoring of global oil market conditions by administration

Long term

  • Ongoing pressure on Iran's oil export revenues
  • Potential future determinations required to maintain sanctions regime

Risks & tensions

  • Document is vague on duration—'consistent with prior determinations' suggests recurring 180-day cycle but does not specify expiration
  • Reliance on April 2020 EIA data may become outdated given volatile energy markets
  • Balancing sanctions enforcement against potential oil price spikes during economic recovery
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders