ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationBiden · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

President Biden determined that global petroleum supplies are sufficient to allow foreign countries to significantly reduce oil purchases from Iran without causing supply disruptions, continuing a sanctions-related certification required by the 2012 NDAA. This determination maintains the legal foundation for pressuring Iran's oil exports while avoiding mandatory sanctions on countries that reduce their Iranian oil imports.

Federal Register Open PDF 86 FR 28235

Impact dates

  1. Federal Register publication

Key directives

  • Determine sufficient non-Iranian petroleum supply exists
  • Continue monitoring global oil supply situation
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing
  • Secretary of State directed to publish in Federal Register

Near term (90d)

  • Continued monitoring of global oil supply conditions

Long term

  • Ongoing sanctions pressure on Iranian oil exports
  • Periodic recertification required for continued policy

Risks & tensions

  • Document cites 'consistent with prior determinations' suggesting continuity, not reversal
  • Vague on whether this maintains or modifies previous posture; no explicit unwinding stated
  • No explicit mention of rejoining JCPOA, though timing (May 2021) coincides with negotiations
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders