Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

This presidential determination, consistent with prior determinations, finds that global petroleum supplies from non-Iranian sources are sufficient to allow foreign financial institutions to significantly reduce purchases of Iranian oil without disrupting markets. This maintains the legal foundation for U.S. sanctions on Iranian petroleum exports under the 2012 NDAA.

Federal Register Open PDF 89 FR 92025

Impact dates

Date TBD
Federal Register publication

Key directives

Continue monitoring global petroleum supply situation
Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

Determination takes effect upon signing
Sanctions authority on Iranian petroleum transactions remains in force

Near term (90d)

Continued monitoring of global petroleum supply conditions
Federal Register publication of determination

Long term

Ongoing enforcement of Iran oil sanctions regime
Potential future determinations based on market conditions

Risks & tensions

Determination is framed as 'consistent with prior determinations,' suggesting continuity rather than policy shift
No explicit calendar deadline for Federal Register publication—only authorization given
Vague 'continue to monitor' language provides flexibility but limited accountability