ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationClinton · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Under Subsections 402(a) and 409(a) of the Trade Act of 1974, as AmendedEmigration Policies of the Russian Federation

TradeTradeDemocracy & GovernanceDemocracy & Governance

In simple terms

This presidential determination finds that Russia is not violating the Jackson-Vanik amendment provisions of the Trade Act of 1974, which condition normal trade relations on emigration freedom. The finding allows continued most-favored-nation (MFN) trade status for Russia without restriction.

Federal Register 59 FR 49783
No PDF available for this document.

Record & deadlines

  1. Signed

    Signed by the President

  2. FR published

    Published in the Federal Register · 59 FR 49783

    Federal Register

  3. Federal Register publication

Market exposure

Policy exposure mapping — not investment advice. Illustrative public companies are incomplete and not recommendations.

Sectors

Steel & aluminumOil & gasAgricultureOther industrial

Mechanisms

Licensing

Role pressure

  • ProtectiveImporter — Maintains access to Russian goods at MFN tariff rates rather than higher Jackson-Vanik penalty rates
  • ProtectiveTrading-partner exporter — Russian exporters retain competitive US market access without emigration-linked trade barriers

Geographies

US

Exposure dates

  • — Federal Register publication

Illustrative public companies

Curated watchlist matches by sector/role — incomplete; not a recommendation.

AAPLAppleBGBungeSHELShellTSLATeslaVALEVale

Confidence: high · Policy alerts

Key directives

  • Determine Russia not in violation of Trade Act §§402(a) and 409(a) paragraphs (1)-(3)
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

What to expect

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing; Russia retains unrestricted MFN trade status

Near term (90d)

  • Federal Register publication (already filed 9-28-94)
  • Congressional report transmission per editorial note

Long term

  • Annual review cycle for Jackson-Vanik compliance continues
  • Potential future determinations contingent on Russian emigration policy changes

Risks & tensions

  • Document predates major post-Soviet trade framework shifts; Jackson-Vanik later became focal point in US-Russia trade debates
  • Low visibility but structurally significant for bilateral trade baseline
  • Editorial note references unstated Congressional report—uncertain if additional conditions attached
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Under Subsections 402(a) and 409(a) of the Trade Act of 1974, as AmendedEmigration Policies of the Russian Federation · Executive Orders